Houston vs Southern Miss 11/20/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Houston winning 44% of simulations, and Southern Miss 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Houston commits fewer turnovers in 28% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. Southern Miss wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. David Piland is averaging 274 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (31% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Austin Davis is averaging 262 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMISS -5

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